We continue our daily look at factors affecting
currencies allowing some insight into market conditions affecting exchange
rates. Cash and income timing for UK Pensions and QROPS should be considered to
maximise the Pension, QROPS and investment income and benefits taken.
Investment market volatility and currency exchange
remains a challenge. Things are still very volatile and we are in unique global
influencing territory. In conjunction
with investment returns, currency exchange continues to concern many expats
with UK Pensions, QROPS and now QNUPS.
Sterling fell against the Euro on Friday hitting it’s
lowest level since June 1st as rising European money market rates and higher
equities increased demand for the European single currency.
Positive data from the US (corporate earnings) mixed
in with some poor US data has helped to increase risk appetite and this has
driven the euro forward, particularly against the US Dollar.
The pounds losses against the euro helped to pull the
euro away from a two and a half month high against the US dollar hit on
Thursday, however the euro has continued to gain over the weekend hitting a high
of $1.2941 early this morning.
Analysts said sterling's slide versus the dollar,
which clips a three-day winning streak, suggested that investors are taking a
breather from the pound's rise since mid-May as speculators unwind extreme
short positions in the currency.
In the past few weeks confidence in the US dollar
which is seen as a safe haven has waned, coupled with an increase in confidence
and therefore risk appetite sterling has done particularly well. Analysts and
investors said that seasonal liquidity in the markets was helping to exaggerate
sterling’s moves and was leaving the pound a little stretched.
By mid afternoon on Friday sterling had lost 0.8%
against the euro and was trading at €1.1852 having retraced losses of 0.2% from
€1.1823.
The bank to bank lending rates mentioned earlier were
cited as the reason for the Euros strong performance.
Against the US dollar sterling fell 0.7% to $1.5344
dropping off a high of $1.5473 hit briefly on Thursday its strongest since
April.
Sterling has benefitted in the last week from data
showing a significant fall in the number of people claiming UK unemployment
benefit in June, which has raised optimism that an improving labour market will
support the economy's recovery.
This contrasted with a series of sluggish US economic
reports, including a drop in wholesale prices in June and a slowdown in
manufacturing announced on Thursday. This poor US data has raised concerns that
the US recovery may be slackening.
Analysts said sterling would more than likely extend
near-term gains on expectations the
UK economy would ultimately benefit from tough
spending cuts planned by the new coalition government, while negative dollar
sentiment may provide an additional boost.
This week The US Federal Reserve chairman’s testimony
to Congress, in which he is expected to air his concerns over the strength of
the US recovery, is likely to dominate the week’s economic announcements
Gerard Associates Ltd advises expats and people
considering living abroad on the technical and currency options available for
Pensions, QROPS, QNUPS and investments in a clear format allowing all customers
to make an informed choice. Our service encompasses Pensions, investments,
currency exchange and guidance on taxation in most popular ‘sunnier’
climates. This with the re-assurance
and security of UK authorised and regulated advice – essential tools for your
security.